Rafael Jodar vs Learner Tien — Next Gen Finals Round Robin

Next Gen Finals · ATP · Round Robin

ESP7

Rafael Jodar

#26ATP

1999ELO

1873Hard ELO

$1.6MYTD

$1.9MCAREER

19 yrs · 191 cm

Last 10 · pre-match

LWWLWWWWLW

3 — 2

Sets

Wednesday, 17 December 2025

hard

USA1

Learner Tien

#17ATP

1941ELO

1904Hard ELO

$1.3MYTD

$4.4MCAREER

20 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLWLWWWWW

Jodar R.

1-4 4-3 1-4 4-2 4-3

Tien L.

Jodar R.

14⁷144⁷3

Tien L.

43³423⁴2

Rafael Jodar defeated Learner Tien 1-4 4-3 1-4 4-2 4-3 in the Next Gen Finals round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Learner Tien came in ranked #17, defending last year's final, but Rafael Jodar had arrived on a 6-match winning run. Rafael Jodar extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Match story: Rafael Jodar dropped the opening set before beating Learner Tien 1–4 4–3 1–4 4–2 4–3.

Head to head

1–0

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2026-05-12	Rome Masters	R16	clay	Rafael Jodar	6-1 6-4

View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season

Jodar R.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Tien L.

Tien L.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Jodar R.

Serve advantage — Jodar R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Jodar R.Tien L.

Serve

Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season

Jodar R.Tien L.

1st serve in·Even

62%

61%

1st serve points won·Even

72%

71%

2nd serve points won·Even

56%

52%

Service points won·Even

66%

63%

Return points won·Even

42%

38%

Break points saved·Even

61%

Aces / match·Slight edge

3.9

5.1

Double faults / match·Dominant

1.6

4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (92 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Jodar R.Tien L.

Clutch Rating·Even

Break points saved·Slight edge

Break points won·Clear edge

Deciding sets·Even

100

Tiebreaks·Slight edge

100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Jodar R.

5.8

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Injury return: 51 days (−1.0)

Tien L.

6.1

Even matchUmpiry Score

Extended break: 45 days (−0.7)

Form & Matchup

4.7Hard Elo 1873

Surface ELO

5.3+32 Hard Elo edge

6.0Overall Elo 1999

ELO gap

4.0Overall Elo 1941

5.0

H2H

5.0

9.1

Surface form

8.4

9.06-match win streak

Win streak

9.05-match win streak

Context

5.0

Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.