Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Rafael JodarNext Gen Finals Round Robin

Next Gen Finals · ATP · Round Robin
#121ATP
1620ELO
1598Hard ELO
$293kYTD
$747kCAREER
19 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLWL
3 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 17 December 2025
hard
#26ATP
1999ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$1.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 191 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Budkov Kjaer N.
4-1 4-2 1-4 4-2
Jodar R.
Budkov Kjaer N.
44143
Jodar R.
12421

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer defeated Rafael Jodar 4-1 4-2 1-4 4-2 in the Next Gen Finals round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Rafael Jodar came in ranked #26.

Key context

  • Match story: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 4–1 4–2 1–4 4–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Budkov Kjaer N.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Jodar R.

Jodar R.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Budkov Kjaer N.

Serve advantage — Jodar R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Budkov Kjaer N.Jodar R.
Serve
18
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
55%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
40%
42%
Break points saved·Even
58%
61%
Aces / match·Even
4.3
3.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 92). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
67
86
Break points saved·Clear edge
78
91
Break points won·Dominant
39
71
Deciding sets·Even
96
100
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
81
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 45 days (−0.7)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 51 days (−1.0)
Form & Matchup
2.1Hard Elo 1598
Surface ELO
7.9+275 Hard Elo edge
1.4Overall Elo 1620
ELO gap
8.6Overall Elo 1999
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.3
Surface form
9.1
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
82

Budkov Kjaer N.: 17 days rest · Jodar R.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast