Alexey Vatutin vs Henrique Rocha — Maia CH Round of 16

Maia CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
RUS
Alexey Vatutin
#609ATP
1415ELO
1374Clay ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 November 2025
clay
POR4
Henrique Rocha
#122ATP
1676ELO
1666Clay ELO
$197kYTD
$880kCAREER
22 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWWWW
Vatutin A.
7-6 6-2
Rocha H.
Vatutin A.
7762
Rocha H.
6220

Alexey Vatutin defeated Henrique Rocha 7-6 6-2 in the Maia CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Henrique Rocha came in ranked #122, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Vatutin A.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Rocha H.

Rocha H.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Vatutin A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Vatutin A.Rocha H.
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
58%
62%
Return points won·Even
43%
40%
Break points saved·Even
56%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.3
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 95). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Vatutin A.Rocha H.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
45
Break points saved·Dominant
18
67
Break points won·Slight edge
32
25
Deciding sets·Dominant
10
57
Tiebreaks·Dominant
4
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Vatutin A.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Rocha H.
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.8Clay Elo 1374
Surface ELO
8.2+293 Clay Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1415
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 1676
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
6.4
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.9
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Vatutin A.Rocha H.
Freshness·
—
100

Rocha H.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Moller E.[3]
Martin A.
6-46-1
Semi-finals
Moller E.[3]
Merida Aguilar D.[5]
6-36-4
Martin A.
Marmousez L.
3-66-36-2
Quarter-finals
Merida Aguilar D.[5]
Choinski J.[1]
6-37-5
Martin A.
Vatutin A.
6-17-5
Marmousez L.
Jianu F.
6-26-3
Moller E.[3]
Lopez Montagud C.
7-56-4
R16
Martin A.
Giustino L.[7]
6-43-4
Merida Aguilar D.[5]
Santamarta Roig A.
6-36-4
Lopez Montagud C.
Blancaneaux G.
1-66-36-2
Moller E.[3]
Michalski D.
2-66-47-66
Vatutin A.
Rocha H.[4]
7-626-2
Marmousez L.
Damas M.
7-57-62
Jianu F.
Sanchez Jover C.
6-35-76-2
Choinski J.[1]
Ferreira Silva F.
6-24-67-5
R32
Sanchez Jover C.
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
6-46-1
Santamarta Roig A.
Rocha F.
6-46-4
Moller E.[3]
Araujo P.
6-46-4
Michalski D.
Curras Abasolo T.
3-66-46-4
Giustino L.[7]
Cretu C.
7-56-4
Martin A.
Gakhov I.
3-66-46-4
Rocha H.[4]
Elias G.
5-76-36-1
Damas M.
Kolar Z.[8]
6-756-36-2
Marmousez L.
Andreev A.
6-46-706-2
Choinski J.[1]
Feldbausch K.
6-17-65
Ferreira Silva F.
Bondioli F.
3-66-37-5
Blancaneaux G.
Napolitano S.
6-26-1
Lopez Montagud C.
Pereira T.
6-36-2
Vatutin A.
Agamenone F.
2-66-17-5
Jianu F.
Faria J.[2]
7-56-3
Merida Aguilar D.[5]
Cadenasso G.
6-46-4