Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo VarillasBogota CH Quarter-final

Bogota CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#133ATP
1477ELO
1488Clay ELO
$142kYTD
$524kCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 November 2025
clay
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
Mejia N.
7-6 6-2
Varillas J.
Mejia N.
7762
Varillas J.
6520

Nicolas Mejia defeated Juan Pablo Varillas 7-6 6-2 in the Bogota CH quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Nicolas Mejia came in ranked #133, defending last year's semi-final.

Key context

  • Match story: Nicolas Mejia closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mejia N.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Varillas J.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Mejia N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Even
4.1
3.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 74). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
26
55
Break points saved·Slight edge
74
80
Break points won·Dominant
6
43
Deciding sets·Clear edge
40
63
Tiebreaks·Dominant
38
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+57 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Clay Elo 1431
5.8Overall Elo 1477
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1440
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
6.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
47
55

Mejia N.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 116 games (7d) · Varillas J.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 111 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast