Elmer Moller vs Daniel Merida Aguilar — Maia CH Semi-final

Maia CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
DEN3
Elmer Moller
#190ATP
1609ELO
1593Clay ELO
$153kYTD
$725kCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 November 2025
clay
ESP5
Daniel Merida Aguilar
1744ELO
1700Clay ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWW
Moller E.
6-3 6-4
Merida Aguilar D.
Moller E.
662
Merida Aguilar D.
340

Elmer Moller defeated Daniel Merida Aguilar 6-3 6-4 in the Maia CH semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Daniel Merida Aguilar came in defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

  • Match story: Elmer Moller closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Moller E.serving56% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Merida Aguilar D.

Merida Aguilar D.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Moller E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Moller E.Merida Aguilar D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
57%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
41%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Even
2.3
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.6
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (75 vs 97). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Moller E.Merida Aguilar D.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
69
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
81
64
Break points won·Clear edge
58
46
Deciding sets·Slight edge
81
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
82
49

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Moller E.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Merida Aguilar D.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Clay Elo 1593
Surface ELO
6.4+107 Clay Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1609
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1744
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
5.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
7.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Moller E.Merida Aguilar D.
Freshness·Slight edge
84
93

Moller E.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Merida Aguilar D.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Moller E.[3]
Martin A.
6-46-1
Semi-finals
Moller E.[3]
Merida Aguilar D.[5]
6-36-4
Martin A.
Marmousez L.
3-66-36-2
Quarter-finals
Merida Aguilar D.[5]
Choinski J.[1]
6-37-5
Martin A.
Vatutin A.
6-17-5
Marmousez L.
Jianu F.
6-26-3
Moller E.[3]
Lopez Montagud C.
7-56-4
R16
Martin A.
Giustino L.[7]
6-43-4
Merida Aguilar D.[5]
Santamarta Roig A.
6-36-4
Lopez Montagud C.
Blancaneaux G.
1-66-36-2
Moller E.[3]
Michalski D.
2-66-47-66
Vatutin A.
Rocha H.[4]
7-626-2
Marmousez L.
Damas M.
7-57-62
Jianu F.
Sanchez Jover C.
6-35-76-2
Choinski J.[1]
Ferreira Silva F.
6-24-67-5
R32
Sanchez Jover C.
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
6-46-1
Santamarta Roig A.
Rocha F.
6-46-4
Moller E.[3]
Araujo P.
6-46-4
Michalski D.
Curras Abasolo T.
3-66-46-4
Giustino L.[7]
Cretu C.
7-56-4
Martin A.
Gakhov I.
3-66-46-4
Rocha H.[4]
Elias G.
5-76-36-1
Damas M.
Kolar Z.[8]
6-756-36-2
Marmousez L.
Andreev A.
6-46-706-2
Choinski J.[1]
Feldbausch K.
6-17-65
Ferreira Silva F.
Bondioli F.
3-66-37-5
Blancaneaux G.
Napolitano S.
6-26-1
Lopez Montagud C.
Pereira T.
6-36-2
Vatutin A.
Agamenone F.
2-66-17-5
Jianu F.
Faria J.[2]
7-56-3
Merida Aguilar D.[5]
Cadenasso G.
6-46-4