Matteo Berrettini vs Raphael CollignonDavis Cup Finals SF: ITA vs BEL Round Robin

Davis Cup Finals SF: ITA vs BEL · ATP · Round Robin
#43ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 21 November 2025
hard
#42ATP
1894ELO
1837Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWWWLW
Berrettini M.
6-3 6-4
Collignon R.
Berrettini M.
662
Collignon R.
340

Matteo Berrettini defeated Raphael Collignon 6-3 6-4 in the Davis Cup Finals SF: ITA vs BEL round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Raphael Collignon came in ranked #42, but Matteo Berrettini had arrived on a 3-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Berrettini M.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Collignon R.

Collignon R.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Berrettini M.Collignon R.
57
Serve
39
10
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
48%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.8
5.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (56 vs 89). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
81
74
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
90
Break points won·Even
53
55
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
83
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1797
Surface ELO
5.5+39 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1894
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
7.2
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
83
74

Berrettini M.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Collignon R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About