Stefano Napolitano vs Otto VirtanenBergamo CH Round of 32

Bergamo CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#242ATP
1528ELO
1456Hard ELO
31 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 November 2025
hard
#140ATP
1706ELO
1674Hard ELO
$214kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
Napolitano S.
3-6 7-6 6-4
Virtanen O.
Napolitano S.
37862
Virtanen O.
66641

Stefano Napolitano defeated Otto Virtanen 3-6 7-6 6-4 in the Bergamo CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Otto Virtanen came in ranked #140.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Napolitano S.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Virtanen O.

Virtanen O.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Napolitano S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
59%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
8.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (58 vs 73). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
33
48
Break points saved·Clear edge
77
94
Break points won·Slight edge
13
3
Deciding sets·Even
55
57
Tiebreaks·Dominant
26
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Hard Elo 1456
Surface ELO
7.4+218 Hard Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1528
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1706
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.8
Surface form
7.1
0.0
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
5.6
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
84

Napolitano S.: 19 days rest · Virtanen O.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast