Hayato Matsuoka vs James Mccabe — Sydney CH Semi-final

Sydney CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
JPN
Hayato Matsuoka
#346ATP
1361ELO
1332Hard ELO
21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 November 2025
hard
AUS5
James Mccabe
#207ATP
1532ELO
1481Hard ELO
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
Matsuoka H.
7-5 6-4
Mccabe J.
Matsuoka H.
762
Mccabe J.
540

Hayato Matsuoka defeated James Mccabe 7-5 6-4 in the Sydney CH semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — James Mccabe came in ranked #207, defending last year's round of 32, but Hayato Matsuoka had arrived on a 4-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Matsuoka H.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Mccabe J.

Mccabe J.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Matsuoka H.

Serve advantage — Matsuoka H.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Matsuoka H.Mccabe J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
35%
Break points saved·Even
57%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.0
8.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (57 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Matsuoka H.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Mccabe J.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.8Hard Elo 1332
Surface ELO
6.2+150 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1361
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1532
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.0
Surface form
5.1
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
Minutes 14d
4.3
4.0
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Matsuoka H.Mccabe J.
Freshness·Slight edge
86
92

Matsuoka H.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 36 games (7d) · Mccabe J.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Final
Duckworth J.[1]
Matsuoka H.
6-16-4
Semi-finals
Duckworth J.[1]
Kubler J.[4]
7-56-2
Matsuoka H.
Mccabe J.[5]
7-56-4
Quarter-finals
Mccabe J.[5]
Hijikata R.[2]
6-37-5
Kubler J.[4]
Bolt A.[7]
7-56-3
Matsuoka H.
Sach T.
4-67-56-1
Duckworth J.[1]
Sweeny D.[6]
6-26-3
R16
Kubler J.[4]
Gengel M.
6-46-2
Mccabe J.[5]
Singh K.
6-36-2
Duckworth J.[1]
Dellavedova M.
6-36-0
Sweeny D.[6]
Wu T.
6-17-65
Bolt A.[7]
Sekulic P.
6-26-1
Sach T.
Ellis B.
W/O
Hijikata R.[2]
Overbeck C.
7-637-62
Matsuoka H.
Hewitt C.
5-76-37-5
R32
Sweeny D.[6]
Langmo C.
2-0
Sach T.
Noguchi R.[8]
2-66-16-2
Singh K.
Shah A.
7-626-3
Duckworth J.[1]
Bouzige M.
6-46-1
Dellavedova M.
Peliwo F.
6-26-2
Wu T.
Polmans M.
6-43-67-5
Kubler J.[4]
Marinkov P.
6-31-66-2
Hewitt C.
Jasika O.
3-67-666-4
Mccabe J.[5]
Moriya H.
6-46-3
Hijikata R.[2]
Bicknell B.
6-45-76-2
Gengel M.
Jones H.
5-76-47-5
Bolt A.[7]
Kumasaka T.
6-36-4
Ellis B.
Hazawa S.
6-706-26-4
Overbeck C.
Delaney J.
6-36-2
Sekulic P.
Hudd E.
6-32-66-3
Matsuoka H.
Tomic B.[3]
6-40-0