Milos Karol vs Andrea Pellegrino — Bergamo CH Round of 32

Bergamo CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
SVK
Milos Karol
#445ATP
1393ELO
1333Hard ELO
23 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 November 2025
hard
Andrea Pellegrino
ITA6
Andrea Pellegrino
#133ATP
1674ELO
1422Hard ELO
$320kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLW
Karol M.
6-4 6-2
Pellegrino A.
Karol M.
662
Pellegrino A.
420

Milos Karol defeated Andrea Pellegrino 6-4 6-2 in the Bergamo CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrea Pellegrino came in ranked #133.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Karol M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Pellegrino A.

Pellegrino A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Karol M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Karol M.Pellegrino A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Even
62%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.9
2.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.2
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (71 vs 89). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Karol M.Pellegrino A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
11
55
Break points saved·Slight edge
75
67
Break points won·Dominant
7
35
Deciding sets·Dominant
18
82
Tiebreaks·Dominant
2
73

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Karol M.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Pellegrino A.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1333
Surface ELO
5.4+89 Hard Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1393
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1674
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.5
Surface form
2.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Karol M.Pellegrino A.
Freshness·
—
78

Pellegrino A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Maestrelli F.[8]
Topo M.
6-33-66-1
Semi-finals
Maestrelli F.[8]
Engel J.
6-46-2
Topo M.
Travaglia S.
6-36-4
Quarter-finals
Travaglia S.
Arnaboldi F.
6-36-3
Topo M.
Passaro F.[4]
7-56-3
Maestrelli F.[8]
Napolitano S.
6-37-67
Engel J.
Guerrieri A.
6-33-67-64
R16
Travaglia S.
Karol M.
6-47-5
Passaro F.[4]
Sciahbasi L.
6-26-3
Topo M.
Zhukayev B.
6-47-64
Maestrelli F.[8]
Gadamauri B.
6-36-3
Napolitano S.
Visker N.
6-46-4
Guerrieri A.
Donski A.
6-46-0
Arnaboldi F.
Fatic N.
7-54-67-5
Engel J.
Lajal M.[7]
W/O
R32
Engel J.
Stewart H.
2-1
Maestrelli F.[8]
Ruusuvuori E.
6-43-67-63
Zhukayev B.
Brunold M.
6-31-66-3
Arnaboldi F.
Mochizuki S.[1]
7-644-66-2
Passaro F.[4]
Ribecai M.
7-666-2
Sciahbasi L.
Durasovic V.
3-67-657-5
Topo M.
Choinski J.[5]
7-636-4
Napolitano S.
Virtanen O.[3]
3-67-666-4
Donski A.
Tabacco F.
4-66-36-4
Guerrieri A.
Harris B.[2]
6-757-56-3
Gadamauri B.
Basile P.
6-36-2
Visker N.
Gentzsch T.
7-636-4
Lajal M.[7]
Vatutin A.
5-77-56-3
Karol M.
Pellegrino A.[6]
6-46-2
Travaglia S.
Dodig M.
6-33-67-64
Fatic N.
Andaloro F.
6-46-6