Andrea Guerrieri vs Alexey Vatutin — Bergamo CH Qualifying Round 2

Bergamo CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
ITA10
Andrea Guerrieri
#227ATP
1545ELO
1393Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 November 2025
hard
RUS3
Alexey Vatutin
#609ATP
1415ELO
1382Hard ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLLWW
Guerrieri A.
6-2 6-4
Vatutin A.
Guerrieri A.
662
Vatutin A.
240

Andrea Guerrieri defeated Alexey Vatutin 6-2 6-4 in the Bergamo CH qualifying round 2 on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Guerrieri A.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Vatutin A.

Vatutin A.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Guerrieri A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Guerrieri A.Vatutin A.
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
50%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
56%
Aces / match·Even
1.8
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.6
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (45 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Guerrieri A.Vatutin A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
62
0
Break points saved·Dominant
80
18
Break points won·Slight edge
40
32
Deciding sets·Dominant
84
10
Tiebreaks·
—
4

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Guerrieri A.
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 91 days (−1.5)
Vatutin A.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+11 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 1382
6.7Overall Elo 1545
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1415
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.3
Surface form
3.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Guerrieri A.Vatutin A.
Freshness·
74
—

Guerrieri A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Q2
Gadamauri B.[8]
Prihodko O.[2]
6-36-4
Guerrieri A.[10]
Vatutin A.[3]
6-26-4
Stewart H.[1]
Matusevich A.[11]
3-66-37-5
Donski A.
Arnaboldi F.[4]
6-33-66-4
Karol M.[5]
Visker N.
6-797-667-64
Ribecai M.[6]
Callejon Hernando S.[9]
7-57-65
Q1
Matusevich A.[11]
Oradini G.
6-46-2
Guerrieri A.[10]
Malgaroli L.
4-66-26-2
Callejon Hernando S.[9]
Borrelli L.
6-46-2
Stewart H.[1]
Bocchi L.
6-36-4
Prihodko O.[2]
Mcdonald N.
6-23-66-3
Gadamauri B.[8]
Pichler D.
6-16-2
Vatutin A.[3]
Liutarevich I.
6-26-2
Arnaboldi F.[4]
Rispoli N.
6-36-1
Donski A.
Nikles J.[12]
6-32-66-1
Karol M.[5]
Pieczonka F.
6-26-4
Visker N.
Vylegzhanin N.[7]
7-656-2
Ribecai M.[6]
Ricca G.
6-16-2