Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Agustin GomezGuayaquil CH Semi-final

Guayaquil CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#308ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 November 2025
clay
#212ATP
1445ELO
1410Clay ELO
$29kYTD
$680kCAREER
29 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLLLLWL
Varillas J.
6-4 6-4
Gomez F.
Varillas J.
662
Gomez F.
440

Juan Pablo Varillas defeated Federico Agustin Gomez 6-4 6-4 in the Guayaquil CH semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Federico Agustin Gomez came in ranked #212, defending the title, but Juan Pablo Varillas had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 8 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Varillas J.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Gomez F.

Gomez F.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.5
5.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (74 vs 72). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
35
Break points saved·Even
80
82
Break points won·Dominant
43
18
Deciding sets·Slight edge
66
58
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
16

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+21 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Clay Elo 1410
5.4Overall Elo 1440
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1445
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
4.6
Surface form
2.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
6.5
7.0
3-set count
4.0
4.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
58
67

Varillas J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 82 games (7d) · Gomez F.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast