Toby Samuel vs Jay Clarke — Soma Bay CH Final

Soma Bay CH · CHALLENGER · Final
GBR
Toby Samuel
#123ATP
1745ELO
1729Hard ELO
$175kYTD
$290kCAREER
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 November 2025
hard
GBR1
Jay Clarke
#246ATP
1458ELO
1421Hard ELO
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLLWL
Samuel T.
4-6 7-6 6-0
Clarke J.
Samuel T.
47762
Clarke J.
66401

Toby Samuel defeated Jay Clarke 4-6 7-6 6-0 in the Soma Bay CH final on hard. The result followed the form book — Toby Samuel came in ranked #123.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Samuel T.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Clarke J.

Clarke J.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Samuel T.

Serve advantage — Samuel T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Samuel T.Clarke J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
48%
Service points won·Even
64%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.9
3.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (47 vs 79). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Samuel T.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Clarke J.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.8+308 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.2Hard Elo 1421
8.5Overall Elo 1745
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1458
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
4.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.9
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Samuel T.Clarke J.
Freshness·Slight edge
93
100

Samuel T.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Clarke J.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Final
Samuel T.
Clarke J.[1]
4-67-646-0
Semi-finals
Samuel T.
Robertson C.
6-16-1
Clarke J.[1]
Erhard M.[4]
6-16-3
Quarter-finals
Clarke J.[1]
Albot R.
6-26-736-2
Erhard M.[4]
Mrva M.[7]
6-36-2
Samuel T.
Binda A.[8]
6-26-3
Robertson C.
Sels J.[6]
6-36-2
R16
Clarke J.[1]
Yevseyev D.
6-44-66-4
Albot R.
Hussey G.[5]
1-67-636-3
Erhard M.[4]
Fellin P.
6-22-66-4
Robertson C.
Kellovsky D.
6-16-4
Samuel T.
Fajta P.
6-37-64
Sels J.[6]
Opitz J.
6-27-5
Binda A.[8]
Bassem Sobhy M.
6-26-4
Mrva M.[7]
Ursu V.
6-756-16-4
R32
Erhard M.[4]
Summers M.
7-657-61
Mrva M.[7]
Vives Marcos P.
4-66-20-0
Opitz J.
Alkaya M.
6-5
Fellin P.
Molleker R.
6-36-3
Ursu V.
Agafonov E.
6-36-1
Sels J.[6]
Ouakaa A.
6-06-3
Robertson C.
Mohamed A.
3-66-16-4
Binda A.[8]
Dzhavakian Y.
6-36-1
Albot R.
Orlov V.
6-37-5
Bassem Sobhy M.
Basic M.
6-36-757-66
Fajta P.
Blanch D.
6-16-4
Samuel T.
Simakin I.[2]
6-46-4
Clarke J.[1]
Zakaryia F.
6-16-3
Yevseyev D.
Sorger S.
5-76-46-1
Hussey G.[5]
Bernet H.
6-36-4
Kellovsky D.
Bar Biryukov P.[3]
7-647-63