Marko Topo vs Jan Choinski — Bergamo CH Round of 32

Bergamo CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
GER
Marko Topo
#350ATP
1463ELO
1473Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 November 2025
hard
Jan Choinski
GBR5
Jan Choinski
#100ATP
1686ELO
1571Hard ELO
$204kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWWW
Topo M.
7-6 6-4
Choinski J.
Topo M.
7762
Choinski J.
6340

Marko Topo defeated Jan Choinski 7-6 6-4 in the Bergamo CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jan Choinski came in ranked #100.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Topo M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Choinski J.

Choinski J.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Topo M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Topo M.Choinski J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
67%
64%
Aces / match·Even
4.5
4.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (64 vs 97). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Topo M.Choinski J.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
28
55
Break points saved·Even
87
90
Break points won·Clear edge
4
20
Deciding sets·Dominant
12
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
84
41

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Topo M.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Choinski J.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1473
Surface ELO
5.4+98 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1463
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1686
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
6.2
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Topo M.Choinski J.
Freshness·Dominant
93
60

Topo M.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Choinski J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Maestrelli F.[8]
Topo M.
6-33-66-1
Semi-finals
Maestrelli F.[8]
Engel J.
6-46-2
Topo M.
Travaglia S.
6-36-4
Quarter-finals
Travaglia S.
Arnaboldi F.
6-36-3
Topo M.
Passaro F.[4]
7-56-3
Maestrelli F.[8]
Napolitano S.
6-37-67
Engel J.
Guerrieri A.
6-33-67-64
R16
Travaglia S.
Karol M.
6-47-5
Passaro F.[4]
Sciahbasi L.
6-26-3
Topo M.
Zhukayev B.
6-47-64
Maestrelli F.[8]
Gadamauri B.
6-36-3
Napolitano S.
Visker N.
6-46-4
Guerrieri A.
Donski A.
6-46-0
Arnaboldi F.
Fatic N.
7-54-67-5
Engel J.
Lajal M.[7]
W/O
R32
Engel J.
Stewart H.
2-1
Maestrelli F.[8]
Ruusuvuori E.
6-43-67-63
Zhukayev B.
Brunold M.
6-31-66-3
Arnaboldi F.
Mochizuki S.[1]
7-644-66-2
Passaro F.[4]
Ribecai M.
7-666-2
Sciahbasi L.
Durasovic V.
3-67-657-5
Topo M.
Choinski J.[5]
7-636-4
Napolitano S.
Virtanen O.[3]
3-67-666-4
Donski A.
Tabacco F.
4-66-36-4
Guerrieri A.
Harris B.[2]
6-757-56-3
Gadamauri B.
Basile P.
6-36-2
Visker N.
Gentzsch T.
7-636-4
Lajal M.[7]
Vatutin A.
5-77-56-3
Karol M.
Pellegrino A.[6]
6-46-2
Travaglia S.
Dodig M.
6-33-67-64
Fatic N.
Andaloro F.
6-46-6