Yosuke Watanuki vs Elias YmerKobe CH Final

Kobe CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#294ATP
1541ELO
1531Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 November 2025
hard
#188ATP
1548ELO
1527Hard ELO
$191kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWW
Watanuki Y.
3-6 6-1 6-4
Ymer E.
Watanuki Y.
3662
Ymer E.
6141

Yosuke Watanuki defeated Elias Ymer 3-6 6-1 6-4 in the Kobe CH final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elias Ymer came in ranked #188, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Yosuke Watanuki claimed a first win over Elias Ymer in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-03-04Davis Cup QLS R1: SWE vs JPNRRhardElias Ymer6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Watanuki Y.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Ymer E.

Ymer E.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Watanuki Y.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
52%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
58%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.3
4.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.1
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (60 vs 89). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
52
48
Break points saved·Slight edge
89
83
Break points won·Even
20
23
Deciding sets·Clear edge
61
78
Tiebreaks·Dominant
81
35

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+3 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1527
5.4Overall Elo 1541
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1548
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.6
Surface form
6.6
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
2.7
3-set count
0.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
100

Watanuki Y.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Ymer E.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast