Alex Bolt vs Dane SweenyBrisbane 3 CH Semi-final

Brisbane 3 CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#152ATP
1588ELO
1541Hard ELO
$125kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 November 2025
hard
#127ATP
1460ELO
1444Hard ELO
$256kYTD
$861kCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
Bolt A.
6-3 6-4
Sweeny D.
Bolt A.
662
Sweeny D.
340

Alex Bolt defeated Dane Sweeny 6-3 6-4 in the Brisbane 3 CH semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Dane Sweeny came in ranked #127.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex Bolt closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bolt A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sweeny D.

Sweeny D.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Bolt A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Even
65%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.5
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (86 vs 48). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
44
45
Break points saved·Clear edge
93
69
Break points won·Even
7
11
Deciding sets·Clear edge
46
68
Tiebreaks·Even
83
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
3.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 161 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.7+97 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Hard Elo 1444
5.9Overall Elo 1588
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1460
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
1.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
96

Bolt A.: 19 days rest · Sweeny D.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast