Alex Bolt vs James DuckworthBrisbane 3 CH Quarter-final

Brisbane 3 CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#166ATP
1588ELO
1541Hard ELO
$125kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 November 2025
hard
#74ATP
1628ELO
1592Hard ELO
$485kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
34 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLL
Bolt A.
7-5 6-1
Duckworth J.
Bolt A.
762
Duckworth J.
510

Alex Bolt defeated James Duckworth 7-5 6-1 in the Brisbane 3 CH quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — James Duckworth came in ranked #74.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex Bolt came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bolt A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Duckworth J.

Duckworth J.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Bolt A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bolt A.Duckworth J.
Serve
25
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
65%
67%
Aces / match·Even
7.5
7.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (86 vs 103). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
44
55
Break points saved·Even
93
97
Break points won·Even
7
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
78
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
83
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1541
Surface ELO
5.6+51 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1588
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1628
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
6.8
Surface form
8.0
0.0
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
4.2
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
89

Bolt A.: 21 days rest · Duckworth J.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast