Henrique Rocha vs Sho ShimabukuroMatsuyama CH Final

Matsuyama CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#122ATP
1676ELO
1574Hard ELO
$197kYTD
$880kCAREER
22 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 November 2025
hard
#90ATP
1672ELO
1606Hard ELO
$268kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLW
Rocha H.
7-5 3-6 6-2
Shimabukuro S.
Rocha H.
7362
Shimabukuro S.
5621

Henrique Rocha defeated Sho Shimabukuro 7-5 3-6 6-2 in the Matsuyama CH final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Sho Shimabukuro came in ranked #90.

Key context

  • Match story: Henrique Rocha closed it out in three sets, 7–5 3–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Rocha H.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Shimabukuro S.

Shimabukuro S.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rocha H.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.9
6.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (95 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
45
42
Break points saved·Clear edge
67
88
Break points won·Slight edge
25
31
Deciding sets·Slight edge
57
50
Tiebreaks·Dominant
86
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1574
Surface ELO
5.2+32 Hard Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 1676
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1672
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.2
Surface form
8.5
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
4.4
7.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
93

Rocha H.: 19 days rest · Shimabukuro S.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast