Sho Shimabukuro vs Ryan Peniston — Matsuyama CH Semi-final

Matsuyama CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
Sho Shimabukuro
JPN5
Sho Shimabukuro
#95ATP
1672ELO
1606Hard ELO
$268kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 November 2025
hard
Ryan Peniston
GBR4
Ryan Peniston
#417ATP
1441ELO
1402Hard ELO
30 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWWW
Shimabukuro S.
6-3 6-2
Peniston R.
Shimabukuro S.
662
Peniston R.
320

Sho Shimabukuro defeated Ryan Peniston 6-3 6-2 in the Matsuyama CH semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Sho Shimabukuro came in ranked #95.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Shimabukuro S.serving73% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Peniston R.

Peniston R.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Shimabukuro S.

Serve advantage — Peniston R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Shimabukuro S.Peniston R.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.2
2.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 50). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Shimabukuro S.Peniston R.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
42
20
Break points saved·Dominant
88
60
Break points won·Slight edge
31
25
Deciding sets·Clear edge
50
36
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
38
15

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Shimabukuro S.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Peniston R.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+204 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Hard Elo 1402
7.2Overall Elo 1672
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1441
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.5
Surface form
6.6
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.4
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Shimabukuro S.Peniston R.
Freshness·
96
—

Shimabukuro S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Final
Rocha H.[1]
Shimabukuro S.[5]
7-53-66-2
Semi-finals
Rocha H.[1]
Ferreira Silva F.[8]
6-26-3
Shimabukuro S.[5]
Peniston R.[4]
6-36-2
Quarter-finals
Ferreira Silva F.[8]
Crawford O.[3]
6-736-47-5
Peniston R.[4]
Ajdukovic D.
7-53-66-2
Shimabukuro S.[5]
Grenier H.[2]
4-66-36-2
Rocha H.[1]
Noguchi R.[7]
7-54-66-3
R16
Rocha H.[1]
Tokuda R.
6-46-3
Ferreira Silva F.[8]
Basing M.
6-16-3
Ajdukovic D.
Matsuda K.
6-43-66-3
Peniston R.[4]
Nakagawa S.
6-26-756-3
Noguchi R.[7]
Sekulic P.
6-27-65
Crawford O.[3]
Huesler M.
7-666-4
Grenier H.[2]
Uchiyama Y.
6-786-36-1
Shimabukuro S.[5]
Johns G.
6-26-2
R32
Shimabukuro S.[5]
Mochizuki Y.
6-46-2
Johns G.
Jones M.
6-44-66-1
Grenier H.[2]
Shiraishi H.
6-46-4
Rocha H.[1]
Isomura K.
5-76-46-1
Crawford O.[3]
Barton H.
7-671-67-63
Huesler M.
Katayama S.
6-47-66
Noguchi R.[7]
Takahashi Y.
7-56-4
Nakagawa S.
Sin S.
2-67-56-3
Peniston R.[4]
Kumasaka T.
6-06-1
Uchiyama Y.
Bigun K.
6-46-4
Basing M.
Matsuda R.
6-31-66-2
Matsuda K.
Shelbayh A.
7-646-2
Ferreira Silva F.[8]
Kusuhara Y.
7-646-736-3
Ajdukovic D.
Kuzmanov D.[6]
6-16-3
Sekulic P.
Chung H.
6-46-3
Tokuda R.
Bouzige M.
3-2