Marina Stakusic vs Varvara Lepchenko

Austin 125 · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final

CAN

Marina Stakusic

#140WTA

1707ELO

1672Hard ELO

21 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWWLLWWWWL

0 — 0

Sets

Monday, 3 November 2025

hard

USA

Varvara Lepchenko

#175WTA

1578ELO

1559Hard ELO

40 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWWLLWLLWW

Stakusic M.

6-4 6-2

Lepchenko V.

Stakusic M.

662

Lepchenko V.

42–

Marina Stakusic defeated Varvara Lepchenko 6-4 6-2 in the Austin 125 quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Marina Stakusic came in ranked #140.

Key context

Match story: Marina Stakusic dropped just 6 games past Varvara Lepchenko.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Stakusic M.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Lepchenko V.

Lepchenko V.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Stakusic M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Stakusic M.Lepchenko V.

1st serve in·Slight edge

57%

65%

1st serve points won·Even

65%

62%

2nd serve points won·Even

44%

47%

Service points won·Even

56%

57%

Return points won·Even

45%

43%

Break points saved·Even

53%

54%

Aces / match·Slight edge

2.5

3.2

Double faults / match·Dominant

4.5

2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 92). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Stakusic M.Lepchenko V.

Clutch Rating·Clear edge

Break points saved·Slight edge

Break points won·Dominant

Deciding sets·Clear edge

Tiebreaks·

—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Stakusic M.

6.8

Slight advantageUmpiry Score

Lepchenko V.

5.9

Even matchUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

6.3+114 Hard Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.7Hard Elo 1559

6.4Overall Elo 1707

ELO gap

3.6Overall Elo 1578

0.0No prior meetings

H2H

10.0

8.1

Surface form

5.1

Fatigue & Travel

Surface transition

6.0

Context

5.0

Defending pts

5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.