Otto Virtanen vs Marin CilicHelsinki CH Quarter-final

Helsinki CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#140ATP
1706ELO
1674Hard ELO
$214kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 November 2025
hard
#62ATP
1800ELO
1762Hard ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
Virtanen O.
7-5 6-4
Cilic M.
Virtanen O.
762
Cilic M.
540

Otto Virtanen defeated Marin Cilic 7-5 6-4 in the Helsinki CH quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Marin Cilic came in ranked #62.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Virtanen O.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Cilic M.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Virtanen O.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Virtanen O.Cilic M.
Serve
57
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
67%
Return points won·Even
36%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
70%
Aces / match·Even
8.6
9.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (73 vs 64). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
48
76
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
99
Break points won·Dominant
3
41
Deciding sets·Dominant
57
94
Tiebreaks·Even
85
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1674
Surface ELO
6.1+87 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1706
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1800
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
5.9
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
6.1
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
73
98

Virtanen O.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Cilic M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast