Gonzalo Bueno vs Cristian GarinLima 2 CH Quarter-final

Lima 2 CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#176ATP
1491ELO
1469Clay ELO
$136kYTD
$352kCAREER
22 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 November 2025
clay
#141ATP
1667ELO
1659Clay ELO
$365kYTD
$7.0MCAREER
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
Bueno G.
7-5 2-6 6-4
Garin C.
Bueno G.
7262
Garin C.
5641

Gonzalo Bueno defeated Cristian Garin 7-5 2-6 6-4 in the Lima 2 CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Cristian Garin came in ranked #141.

Key context

  • Match story: Gonzalo Bueno closed it out in three sets, 7–5 2–6 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bueno G.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Garin C.

Garin C.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Bueno G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
62%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Even
56%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.0
3.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (101 vs 88). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
44
63
Break points saved·Dominant
29
94
Break points won·Even
45
45
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
83
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
63
43

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
2.8Clay Elo 1469
Surface ELO
7.2+190 Clay Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1491
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1667
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
8.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.8
Minutes 14d
5.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
81

Bueno G.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast