Vitaliy Sachko vs Alexander Bublik — Metz Round of 16

Metz · ATP · Round of 16
Vitaliy Sachko
UKR
Vitaliy Sachko
#195ATP
1584ELO
1475Hard ELO
$158kYTD
$835kCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 2 November 2025
hard
Alexander Bublik
KAZ3
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Sachko V.
7-5 3-6 7-5
Bublik A.
Sachko V.
7372
Bublik A.
5651

Vitaliy Sachko defeated Alexander Bublik 7-5 3-6 7-5 in the Metz round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11.

Key context

  • Match story: Vitaliy Sachko closed it out in three sets, 7–5 3–6 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sachko V.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Sachko V.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sachko V.Bublik A.
—
Serve
65
—
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sachko V.Bublik A.
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.3
10.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sachko V.Bublik A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
51
88
Break points saved·Clear edge
81
99
Break points won·Clear edge
48
67
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
19
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sachko V.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Bublik A.
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1475
Surface ELO
10.0+362 Hard Elo edge
0.1Overall Elo 1584
ELO gap
9.9Overall Elo 1889
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.4
Surface form
6.7
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
2.6
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sachko V.Bublik A.
Freshness·Slight edge
80
74

Sachko V.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d) · Bublik A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Tien L.
Norrie C.[7]
6-33-67-66
Semi-finals
Tien L.
Sachko V.
6-16-4
Norrie C.[7]
Sonego L.
4-66-26-4
Quarter-finals
Norrie C.[7]
Jacquet K.
4-67-626-4
Tien L.
Berrettini M.
5-76-26-3
Sachko V.
Tabur C.
6-43-66-4
Sonego L.
Altmaier D.
6-47-66
R16
Tabur C.
Blockx A.
6-747-667-66
Altmaier D.
Gaston H.
4-66-00-0
Tien L.
Echargui M.
7-636-3
Norrie C.[7]
Cazaux A.
6-717-676-2
Berrettini M.
Vukic A.
7-656-3
Sachko V.
Bublik A.[3]
7-53-67-5
Sonego L.
Cobolli F.[4]
2-66-37-5
Jacquet K.
Added D.
6-06-2
R32
Vukic A.
Moutet C.[8]
3-67-667-68
Tien L.
Blanchet U.
6-36-3
Jacquet K.
Van Assche L.
4-66-36-4
Sonego L.
Choinski J.
4-66-46-4
Norrie C.[7]
Royer V.
6-36-726-3
Altmaier D.
Rinderknech A.[6]
6-46-4
Cazaux A.
Mannarino A.
6-37-64
Tabur C.
Kovacevic A.
6-36-2
Blockx A.
Passaro F.
3-66-36-4
Sachko V.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7-6106-3
Gaston H.
Atmane T.
6-46-1
Berrettini M.
Halys Q.
6-26-4