Aleksandar Vukic vs Adam WaltonParis Masters Qualifying Round 1

Paris Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
#104ATP
1630ELO
1597Hard ELO
$366kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
#85ATP
1703ELO
1669Hard ELO
$499kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLWWWLW
Vukic A.
3-6 6-2 6-4
Walton A.
Vukic A.
3662
Walton A.
6241

Aleksandar Vukic defeated Adam Walton 3-6 6-2 6-4 in the Paris Masters qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Adam Walton came in ranked #85. Aleksandar Vukic extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-16Queen's ClubQ2grassAleksandar Vukic6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Vukic A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Walton A.

Walton A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Vukic A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Vukic A.Walton A.
21
Serve
35
7
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
33%
36%
Break points saved·Even
63%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.3
6.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 109). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
58
65
Break points saved·Even
97
95
Break points won·Even
16
20
Deciding sets·Clear edge
72
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
80
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1597
Surface ELO
5.6+72 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1703
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.1
Surface form
2.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.8
Minutes 14d
6.8
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
87
62

Vukic A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Walton A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 82%