Chris Rodesch vs Mackenzie McdonaldBratislava 2 CH Round of 16

Bratislava 2 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#173ATP
1622ELO
1623Hard ELO
$163kYTD
$424kCAREER
24 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
#145ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Rodesch C.
7-6 5-7 7-5
Mcdonald M.
Rodesch C.
77572
Mcdonald M.
62751

Chris Rodesch defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 7-6 5-7 7-5 in the Bratislava 2 CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mackenzie Mcdonald came in ranked #145.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Rodesch C.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Rodesch C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rodesch C.Mcdonald M.
Serve
25
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.1
5.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (77 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
52
56
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
96
Break points won·Dominant
5
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
81
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
74
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+19 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 1604
5.2Overall Elo 1622
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1606
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
5.7
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
7.4
7.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
87

Rodesch C.: 17 days rest · Mcdonald M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast