Francesco Maestrelli vs Shintaro MochizukiBratislava 2 CH Round of 32

Bratislava 2 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#128ATP
1538ELO
1551Hard ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
#151ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Maestrelli F.
7-6 3-6 6-4
Mochizuki S.
Maestrelli F.
77362
Mochizuki S.
63641

Francesco Maestrelli defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 7-6 3-6 6-4 in the Bratislava 2 CH round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Francesco Maestrelli came in ranked #128.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Maestrelli F.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.9
3.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (95 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
56
52
Break points saved·Slight edge
83
74
Break points won·Dominant
14
55
Deciding sets·Dominant
83
46
Tiebreaks·Even
80
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+126 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Hard Elo 1425
5.8Overall Elo 1538
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1475
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
5.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.3
Minutes 14d
7.2
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
96
80

Maestrelli F.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Mochizuki S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast