Sebastian Korda vs Valentin RoyerParis Masters Qualifying Round 2

Paris Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
#77ATP
1641ELO
1585Hard ELO
$521kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
Korda S.
6-2 5-7 6-4
Royer V.
Korda S.
6562
Royer V.
2741

Sebastian Korda defeated Valentin Royer 6-2 5-7 6-4 in the Paris Masters qualifying round 2 on hard. The result followed the form book — Sebastian Korda came in ranked #63.

Key context

  • Match story: Sebastian Korda closed it out in three sets, 6–2 5–7 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Korda S.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Royer V.

Royer V.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Korda S.Royer V.
61
Serve
30
58
Return
20

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.1
5.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (64 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
87
59
Break points saved·Even
98
94
Break points won·Dominant
73
30
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
76
Tiebreaks·Dominant
94
62

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.5+180 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.5Hard Elo 1585
8.1Overall Elo 1809
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1641
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
5.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.8
Minutes 14d
1.9
0.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.5
Country comfort
5.5
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
57

Royer V.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 94 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 82%