Lia Karatancheva vs Yuki NaitoW100 Irapuato Round of 32

W100 Irapuato · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#388WTA
1271ELO
1222Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
#295WTA
1382ELO
1394Hard ELO
25 yrs · 163 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWLW
Karatancheva L.
4-6 6-3 3-1
Naito Y.
Karatancheva L.
4632
Naito Y.
6311

Lia Karatancheva defeated Yuki Naito 4-6 6-3 3-1 in the W100 Irapuato round of 32 on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Karatancheva L.serving35% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Naito Y.

Naito Y.serving45% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Karatancheva L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
41%
Service points won·Even
53%
54%
Return points won·Even
46%
49%
Break points saved·Even
52%
48%
Aces / match·Even
1.2
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 69). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1222
Surface ELO
5.4+172 Hard Elo edge
5.5Overall Elo 1271
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1382
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
1.6
Surface form
4.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.