Marina Stakusic vs Elvina Kalieva — W100 Irapuato Final
W100 Irapuato · CHALLENGER · Final
#138WTA
1707ELO
1672Hard ELO
21 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
Stakusic M.6-2 6-2
Kalieva E.
Stakusic M.
662
Kalieva E.
22–
Marina Stakusic defeated Elvina Kalieva 6-2 6-2 in the W100 Irapuato final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elvina Kalieva came in ranked #133.
Key context
- Match story: Marina Stakusic dropped just 4 games past Elvina Kalieva.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Serve vs return
This seasonBaseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
57%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
3.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.4
4.1
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 88). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Dominant
61
18
Break points saved·Dominant
73
28
Break points won·Slight edge
94
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
54
36
Tiebreaks·
—
15
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
6.5+133 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO3.5Hard Elo 1540
6.3Overall Elo 1707
ELO gap3.7Overall Elo 1569
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0
6.9
Surface form5.1
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts6.0
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.