Alex De Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo — Paris Masters Round of 32

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 32
Alex De Minaur
AUS6
Alex De Minaur
#5ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
Gabriel Diallo
CAN
Gabriel Diallo
#93ATP
1716ELO
1678Hard ELO
$480kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLL
De Minaur A.
7-6 4-6 6-3
Diallo G.
De Minaur A.
710462
Diallo G.
68631

Alex De Minaur defeated Gabriel Diallo 7-6 4-6 6-3 in the Paris Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Alex De Minaur extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex De Minaur closed it out in three sets, 7–6 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-16LondonR32grassAlex De Minaur7.10-6.8 6-3
2023-08-07Canada MastersR32hardAlex De Minaur6-4 7-5
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Diallo G.

Diallo G.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Diallo G.
48
Serve
38
80
Return
14

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
De Minaur A.Diallo G.
1st serve in·Clear edge
56%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
50%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.0
8.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 73). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
De Minaur A.Diallo G.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
95
64
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
97
24
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
De Minaur A.
8.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Diallo G.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.3+257 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.7Hard Elo 1678
8.2Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
1.8Overall Elo 1716
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.2
Surface form
4.8
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.4
Minutes 14d
6.8
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.3
Country comfort
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
De Minaur A.Diallo G.
Freshness·Slight edge
80
87

De Minaur A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Diallo G.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 82%
Final
Sinner J.[2]
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
6-47-64
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[2]
Zverev A.[3]
6-06-1
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Bublik A.[13]
7-636-4
Quarter-finals
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Vacherot V.
6-26-2
Bublik A.[13]
De Minaur A.[6]
6-756-47-5
Sinner J.[2]
Shelton B.[5]
6-36-3
Zverev A.[3]
Medvedev D.[11]
2-66-37-65
R16
Shelton B.[5]
Rublev A.[12]
7-666-3
De Minaur A.[6]
Khachanov K.[10]
6-26-2
Zverev A.[3]
Davidovich Fokina A.[15]
6-26-4
Sinner J.[2]
Cerundolo F.
7-56-1
Medvedev D.[11]
Sonego L.
3-67-656-4
Vacherot V.
Norrie C.
7-646-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Altmaier D.
3-66-36-2
Bublik A.[13]
Fritz T.[4]
7-656-2
R32
Medvedev D.[11]
Dimitrov G.
W/O
Shelton B.[5]
Cobolli F.
7-646-3
Cerundolo F.
Kecmanovic M.
7-51-67-64
Sinner J.[2]
Bergs Z.
6-46-2
Rublev A.[12]
Tien L.
6-46-4
De Minaur A.[6]
Diallo G.
7-684-66-3
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Muller A.
5-77-657-64
Vacherot V.
Rinderknech A.
6-796-36-4
Altmaier D.
Ruud C.[8]
6-37-5
Davidovich Fokina A.[15]
Cazaux A.
7-656-4
Sonego L.
Musetti L.[7]
3-66-36-1
Norrie C.
Alcaraz C.[1]
4-66-36-4
Fritz T.[4]
Vukic A.
7-646-2
Bublik A.[13]
Moutet C.
6-37-5
Zverev A.[3]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-756-17-5
Khachanov K.[10]
Fonseca J.
6-13-66-3
R64
Cazaux A.
Darderi L.
7-657-64
Rinderknech A.
Marozsan F.
7-657-64
Vacherot V.
Lehecka J.[14]
6-16-3
Muller A.
Nakashima B.
6-27-5
Bublik A.[13]
Popyrin A.
6-46-3
Bergs Z.
Michelsen A.
6-32-66-2
Ugo Carabelli C.
Etcheverry T.
7-56-3
Diallo G.
Griekspoor T.
6-36-4
Fonseca J.
Shapovalov D.
5-76-46-3
Dimitrov G.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7-656-1
Medvedev D.[11]
Munar J.
6-16-3
Tien L.
Borges N.
6-27-67
Cerundolo F.
Dzumhur D.
6-36-3
Sonego L.
Korda S.
6-26-3
Cobolli F.
Machac T.
6-16-4
Altmaier D.
Giron M.
6-27-65
Vukic A.
Atmane T.
6-42-66-4
Norrie C.
Baez S.
6-36-4
Rublev A.[12]
Fearnley J.
6-16-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Comesana F.
6-726-36-3
Kecmanovic M.
Kovacevic A.
6-41-67-62
Moutet C.
Opelka R.
3-67-56-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[15]
Royer V.
4-66-16-4
Khachanov K.[10]
Quinn E.
6-16-1