Rafael Jodar vs Murphy CassoneCharlottesville CH Round of 32

Charlottesville CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#26ATP
1999ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$1.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 191 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
#289ATP
1429ELO
1393Hard ELO
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWLL
Jodar R.
6-4 7-5
Cassone M.
Jodar R.
672
Cassone M.
450

Rafael Jodar defeated Murphy Cassone 6-4 7-5 in the Charlottesville CH round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Rafael Jodar came in ranked #26, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Rafael Jodar extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-09DallasQ2hardRafael Jodar7-6(5) 7-6(6)

Serve vs return

This season
Jodar R.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Cassone M.

Cassone M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Jodar R.

Serve advantage — Jodar R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Jodar R.Cassone M.
18
Serve
44
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
6.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (92 vs 97). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
86
31
Break points saved·Even
91
88
Break points won·Dominant
71
18
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
15
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
67

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+480 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1393
10.0Overall Elo 1999
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1429
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.0
Surface form
3.8
Fatigue & Travel
4.1
Minutes 14d
6.9
7.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
87

Jodar R.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Cassone M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast