Keegan Smith vs Aryan Shah — Sioux Falls CH Qualifying Round 2

Sioux Falls CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
USA9
Keegan Smith
#247ATP
1421ELO
1395Hard ELO
28 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
IND1
Aryan Shah
#617ATP
1235ELO
1228Hard ELO
20 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLWWL
Smith K.
6-3 7-6
Shah A.
Smith K.
6772
Shah A.
3640

Keegan Smith defeated Aryan Shah 6-3 7-6 in the Sioux Falls CH qualifying round 2 on hard. The result followed the form book — Keegan Smith came in ranked #247, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

  • Match story: Keegan Smith closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Smith K.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Shah A.

Shah A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Smith K.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Smith K.Shah A.
1st serve in·Clear edge
74%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
66%
62%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
69%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.4
4.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (52 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Smith K.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Shah A.
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
6.2+167 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1228
6.5Overall Elo 1421
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1235
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
5.3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
6.3
Minutes 14d
7.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Smith K.Shah A.
Freshness·
74
—

Smith K.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Q2
Arutiunian E.[8]
Arseneault N.[6]
6-46-2
Mchugh A.[7]
Martin D.[3]
7-630-67-610
Smith K.[9]
Shah A.[1]
6-37-64
Ghibaudo A.[2]
Rocha F.
6-36-2
Boulais J.[11]
Vandecasteele Q.
6-47-5
Fenty A.[5]
Ganesan A.[10]
7-636-1
Q1
Rocha F.
Miyoshi K.[12]
7-666-1
Vandecasteele Q.
Wiskandt M.[4]
6-16-3
Arutiunian E.[8]
Teramo D.
6-16-3
Ganesan A.[10]
Harper C.
6-36-766-4
Shah A.[1]
Baris O.
7-56-4
Fenty A.[5]
Brumm J.
6-36-4
Arseneault N.[6]
Seelig K.
6-46-1
Smith K.[9]
Sheehy J.
6-36-3
Ghibaudo A.[2]
Exsted M.
6-47-5
Martin D.[3]
Kirchheimer S.
7-637-64
Mchugh A.[7]
Schachter N.
6-36-0
Boulais J.[11]
Kittay B.
6-46-4