Reilly Opelka vs Botic Van De ZandschulpBasel Qualifying Round 2

Basel · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
#131ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#55ATP
1743ELO
1711Hard ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLLW
Opelka R.
6-4 6-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Opelka R.
662
Van De Zandschulp B.
440

Reilly Opelka defeated Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-4 6-4 in the Basel qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Botic Van De Zandschulp came in ranked #55, defending last year's round of 16. Reilly Opelka extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Reilly Opelka edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-20BaselR16hardReilly Opelka7-6(5) 6-7(7) 6-3
2021-02-01Great Ocean Road OpenR16hardBotic Van De Zandschulp7-6(6) 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Opelka R.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Van De Zandschulp B.

Van De Zandschulp B.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Opelka R.Van De Zandschulp B.
86
Serve
41
0
Return
43

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
28%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
74%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
16.9
6.1
Double faults / match·Even
4.0
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (68 vs 79). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
63
77
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Dominant
1
68
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
79
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+23 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1711
5.0Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1743
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.1
Surface form
4.5
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.3
Minutes 14d
8.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Van De Zandschulp B.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast