Eva Lys vs Yuliia StarodubtsevaTokyo Qualifying Round 1

Tokyo · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#76WTA
1791ELO
1770Hard ELO
24 yrs · 165 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLLLL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#55WTA
1759ELO
1668Hard ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLWL
Lys E.
6-3 6-2
Starodubtseva Y.
Lys E.
662
Starodubtseva Y.
32

Eva Lys defeated Yuliia Starodubtseva 6-3 6-2 in the Tokyo qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Yuliia Starodubtseva came in ranked #55, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Eva Lys claimed a first win over Yuliia Starodubtseva in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-17MiamiR128hardYuliia Starodubtseva6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Lys E.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Starodubtseva Y.

Starodubtseva Y.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Lys E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Lys E.Starodubtseva Y.
11
Serve
9
81
Return
51

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
48%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
52%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.8
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
60
75
Break points saved·Dominant
57
89
Break points won·Even
95
95
Deciding sets·Even
66
66
Tiebreaks·
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+101 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1668
5.7Overall Elo 1791
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1759
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
4.6
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.9
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
95

Lys E.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Starodubtseva Y.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast