Katie Swan vs Natsumi KawaguchiW35 Brisbane Quarter-final

W35 Brisbane · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#196WTA
1554ELO
1477Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#362WTA
1360ELO
1342Hard ELO
24 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWWL
Swan K.
6-4 7-6
Kawaguchi N.
Swan K.
6772
Kawaguchi N.
463

Katie Swan defeated Natsumi Kawaguchi 6-4 7-6 in the W35 Brisbane quarter-final on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Swan K.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kawaguchi N.

Kawaguchi N.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Swan K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
56%
Return points won·Even
49%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.3
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (72 vs 56). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.3
Surface form
5.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Swan K.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw