Patrick Kypson vs Rafael Jodar — Sioux Falls CH Round of 16

Sioux Falls CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Patrick Kypson
USA5
Patrick Kypson
#113ATP
1641ELO
1611Hard ELO
$260kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
26 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
Rafael Jodar
ESP
Rafael Jodar
#26ATP
1999ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$1.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 191 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Kypson P.
6-4 6-4
Jodar R.
Kypson P.
662
Jodar R.
440

Patrick Kypson defeated Rafael Jodar 6-4 6-4 in the Sioux Falls CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Rafael Jodar came in ranked #26.

Key context

  • Match story: Patrick Kypson edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kypson P.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Jodar R.

Jodar R.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Kypson P.

Serve advantage — Jodar R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kypson P.Jodar R.
—
Serve
18
—
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Kypson P.Jodar R.
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
56%
Service points won·Even
67%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.2
3.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (82 vs 92). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kypson P.Jodar R.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
42
86
Break points saved·Even
93
91
Break points won·Dominant
41
71
Deciding sets·Dominant
17
100
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kypson P.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Jodar R.
8.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.8Hard Elo 1611
Surface ELO
8.2+262 Hard Elo edge
0.6Overall Elo 1641
ELO gap
9.4Overall Elo 1999
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
7.3
Surface form
8.7
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.6
Minutes 14d
5.8
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kypson P.Jodar R.
Freshness·Slight edge
92
82

Kypson P.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Jodar R.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Final
Kypson P.[5]
Monday J.
6-727-647-5
Semi-finals
Monday J.
Rosenkranz M.
6-47-64
Kypson P.[5]
Ghibaudo A.
6-36-1
Quarter-finals
Rosenkranz M.
Thompson J.[1]
7-51-0
Kypson P.[5]
Hijikata R.[3]
6-46-4
Ghibaudo A.
Damm M.
7-646-4
Monday J.
Martin A.
6-36-3
R16
Martin A.
Draxl L.[4]
6-17-5
Monday J.
Perez A.
7-56-3
Thompson J.[1]
Arutiunian E.
7-57-62
Rosenkranz M.
Cassone M.[6]
6-07-5
Kypson P.[5]
Jodar R.
6-46-4
Damm M.
Ilagan A.
7-627-5
Hijikata R.[3]
Banerjee S.
7-636-2
Ghibaudo A.
Fenty A.
7-56-4
R32
Ilagan A.
Holt B.[2]
4-3
Thompson J.[1]
Mmoh M.
6-36-4
Rosenkranz M.
Boulais J.
6-16-4
Cassone M.[6]
Krueger M.
7-653-66-2
Draxl L.[4]
Blanch D.
6-46-4
Perez A.
Kingsley C.
6-46-4
Monday J.
Zheng M.[7]
2-66-46-4
Kypson P.[5]
Tarvet O.
6-24-66-3
Jodar R.
Purtseladze S.
6-47-5
Banerjee S.
Mchugh A.
6-36-4
Arutiunian E.
Zahraj P.
6-16-2
Fenty A.
Smith K.
4-67-647-63
Ghibaudo A.
Clarke J.[8]
2-66-27-5
Damm M.
Martin D.
6-26-4
Hijikata R.[3]
Pinnington Jones J.
6-36-0
Martin A.
Shah A.
7-651-66-3