Ugo Humbert vs Reilly Opelka — Basel Quarter-final

Basel · ATP · Quarter-final
Ugo Humbert
FRA
Ugo Humbert
#30ATP
1868ELO
1843Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
Reilly Opelka
USA
Reilly Opelka
#115ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
Humbert U.
7-6 6-4
Opelka R.
Humbert U.
7762
Opelka R.
6040

Ugo Humbert defeated Reilly Opelka 7-6 6-4 in the Basel quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Ugo Humbert came in ranked #30, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Humbert U.serving96% hold

wins 76% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Opelka R.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Humbert U.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Humbert U.Opelka R.
64
Serve
86
15
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Humbert U.Opelka R.
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
69%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
29%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
74%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.9
16.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (63 vs 67). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Humbert U.Opelka R.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
70
63
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
37
1
Deciding sets·Slight edge
78
88
Tiebreaks·Even
91
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Humbert U.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Opelka R.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+110 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1734
6.1Overall Elo 1868
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1749
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
4.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
9.3
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Humbert U.Opelka R.
Freshness·
90
—

Humbert U.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Fonseca J.
Davidovich Fokina A.[8]
6-36-4
Semi-finals
Davidovich Fokina A.[8]
Humbert U.
7-643-1
Fonseca J.
Munar J.
7-647-5
Quarter-finals
Fonseca J.
Shapovalov D.[9]
3-66-34-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[8]
Ruud C.[4]
7-610-0
Munar J.
Auger Aliassime F.[5]
6-30-0
Humbert U.
Opelka R.
7-606-4
R16
Fonseca J.
Mensik J.[7]
W/O
Auger Aliassime F.[5]
Cilic M.
7-627-62
Opelka R.
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-656-776-3
Shapovalov D.[9]
Royer V.
7-636-2
Munar J.
Shelton B.[2]
6-36-4
Humbert U.
Fritz T.[1]
6-36-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[8]
Brooksby J.
6-766-47-5
Ruud C.[4]
Wawrinka S.
6-47-65
R32
Opelka R.
Baez S.
6-36-4
Wawrinka S.
Kecmanovic M.
6-17-63
Van De Zandschulp B.
Lehecka J.[6]
6-26-2
Shelton B.[2]
Majchrzak K.
6-726-37-67
Brooksby J.
Muller A.
6-46-3
Shapovalov D.[9]
Giron M.
6-736-07-64
Humbert U.
Korda S.
6-36-4
Royer V.
Collignon R.
6-47-65
Mensik J.[7]
Bernet H.
7-616-776-3
Fritz T.[1]
Vacherot V.
4-67-647-5
Cilic M.
Goffin D.
7-697-5
Davidovich Fokina A.[8]
Sonego L.
7-626-4
Munar J.
Bertola R.
6-26-4
Auger Aliassime F.[5]
Diallo G.
6-27-5
Fonseca J.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7-666-3
Ruud C.[4]
Halys Q.
6-17-63