Julia Grabher vs Oleksandra OliynykovaFlorianopolis 125 Semi-final

Florianopolis 125 · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#116WTA
1613ELO
1593Clay ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
clay
#53WTA
1773ELO
1733Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWW
Grabher J.
3-6 7-6 7-6
Oliynykova O.
Grabher J.
377772
Oliynykova O.
664611

Julia Grabher defeated Oleksandra Oliynykova 3-6 7-6 7-6 in the Florianopolis 125 semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Oleksandra Oliynykova came in ranked #53, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Grabher J.serving35% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Oliynykova O.

Oliynykova O.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Grabher J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
74%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
47%
50%
Break points saved·Even
54%
56%
Aces / match·Even
1.2
0.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
55
78
Break points saved·Dominant
39
75
Break points won·Slight edge
91
99
Deciding sets·Even
82
80
Tiebreaks·
62

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Clay Elo 1593
Surface ELO
6.1+140 Clay Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1613
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1773
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.3
Surface form
6.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
90

Grabher J.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 35 games (7d) · Oliynykova O.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast