Alina Korneeva vs Talia GibsonGuangzhou Qualifying Round 1

Guangzhou · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#90WTA
1725ELO
1718Hard ELO
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#58WTA
1737ELO
1764Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLLL
Korneeva A.
5-7 6-3 7-5
Gibson T.
Korneeva A.
5672
Gibson T.
7351

Alina Korneeva defeated Talia Gibson 5-7 6-3 7-5 in the Guangzhou qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Talia Gibson came in ranked #58.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Korneeva A.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Gibson T.

Gibson T.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Korneeva A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Korneeva A.Gibson T.
Serve
60
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Break points saved·Even
54%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.7
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.5
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 101). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1718
Surface ELO
5.7+47 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1725
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1737
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.7
Surface form
4.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Gibson T.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast