Joao Fonseca vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaBasel Final

Basel · ATP · Final
#27ATP
1928ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#20ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Fonseca J.
6-3 6-4
Davidovich Fokina A.
Fonseca J.
662
Davidovich Fokina A.
340

Joao Fonseca defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-3 6-4 in the Basel final on hard. The result followed the form book — Joao Fonseca came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. Joao Fonseca extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Joao Fonseca closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersR64hardJoao Fonseca6-7(4) 5-4 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Fonseca J.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Davidovich Fokina A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Fonseca J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fonseca J.Davidovich Fokina A.
47
Serve
40
38
Return
53

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
62%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.8
3.8
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (64 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
91
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Dominant
43
95
Deciding sets·Even
89
90
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+71 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1842
5.6Overall Elo 1928
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1893
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.3
Surface form
4.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
7.6
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
91
79

Fonseca J.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Davidovich Fokina A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast