Veronika Erjavec vs Tatjana MariaGuangzhou Round of 32

Guangzhou · WTA · Round of 32
#105WTA
1629ELO
1524Hard ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLLLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#76WTA
1703ELO
1608Hard ELO
38 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
Erjavec V.
6-4 6-7 6-2
Maria T.
Erjavec V.
66762
Maria T.
47921

Veronika Erjavec defeated Tatjana Maria 6-4 6-7 6-2 in the Guangzhou round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tatjana Maria came in ranked #76.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Erjavec V.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Maria T.

Maria T.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Erjavec V.

Serve advantage — Erjavec V.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Erjavec V.Maria T.
Serve
9
Return
13

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.9
4.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (88 vs 77). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
81
13
Break points saved·Dominant
83
31
Break points won·Clear edge
94
78
Deciding sets·Dominant
82
9
Tiebreaks·
58

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1524
Surface ELO
5.5+85 Hard Elo edge
5.2Overall Elo 1629
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1703
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.7
Surface form
4.8
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
96
64

Erjavec V.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Maria T.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast