Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Juan Manuel CerundoloCosta do Sauipe CH Quarter-final

Costa do Sauipe CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#67ATP
1711ELO
1694Clay ELO
$446kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
clay
#45ATP
1790ELO
1762Clay ELO
$752kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWW
Burruchaga R.
6-2 6-3
Cerundolo J.
Burruchaga R.
662
Cerundolo J.
230

Roman Andres Burruchaga defeated Juan Manuel Cerundolo 6-2 6-3 in the Costa do Sauipe CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Juan Manuel Cerundolo came in ranked #45, leading the head-to-head 1–0, but Roman Andres Burruchaga had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Roman Andres Burruchaga claimed a first win over Juan Manuel Cerundolo in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-10Buenos AiresR32clayJuan Manuel Cerundolo7-6(4) 5-7 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Burruchaga R.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Cerundolo J.

Cerundolo J.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Burruchaga R.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Burruchaga R.Cerundolo J.
Serve
15
Return
41

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
43%
40%
Break points saved·Even
59%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
3.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (114 vs 107). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
66
85
Break points saved·Clear edge
68
82
Break points won·Slight edge
73
80
Deciding sets·Clear edge
84
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
64
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7Clay Elo 1694
Surface ELO
4.3+68 Clay Elo edge
5.7Overall Elo 1711
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1790
4.6
H2H
5.4
8.6
Surface form
8.3
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
94
100

Burruchaga R.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Cerundolo J.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast