Mccartney Kessler vs Cristina BucsaTokyo Round of 32

Tokyo · WTA · Round of 32
#57WTA
1808ELO
1785Hard ELO
$545kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#35WTA
1722ELO
1710Hard ELO
$900kYTD
$5.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWWWW
Kessler M.
3-6 7-5 6-3
Bucsa C.
Kessler M.
3762
Bucsa C.
6531

Mccartney Kessler defeated Cristina Bucsa 3-6 7-5 6-3 in the Tokyo round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Mccartney Kessler came in leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Mccartney Kessler extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-24AustinR16hardMccartney Kessler5-7 6-3 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Kessler M.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Bucsa C.

Bucsa C.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Kessler M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kessler M.Bucsa C.
27
Serve
22
45
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
1.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (77 vs 78). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
84
60
Break points saved·Clear edge
91
79
Break points won·Even
95
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
68
Tiebreaks·Dominant
59
27

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+75 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1710
6.0Overall Elo 1808
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1722
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.2
Surface form
4.9
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.9
Minutes 14d
9.0
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
96

Kessler M.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 81%