Kimberly Birrell vs Marie BouzkovaTokyo Qualifying Round 1

Tokyo · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#72WTA
1754ELO
1752Hard ELO
28 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#23WTA
1871ELO
1798Hard ELO
$844kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Birrell K.
2-6 7-6 6-2
Bouzkova M.
Birrell K.
27762
Bouzkova M.
66321

Kimberly Birrell defeated Marie Bouzkova 2-6 7-6 6-2 in the Tokyo qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Marie Bouzkova came in ranked #23.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Birrell K.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Bouzkova M.

Bouzkova M.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Birrell K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Birrell K.Bouzkova M.
22
Serve
10
43
Return
81

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
47%
Break points saved·Even
54%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.3
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (88 vs 64). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
65
79
Break points saved·Clear edge
77
90
Break points won·Clear edge
83
98
Deciding sets·Slight edge
65
75
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
77
71

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1752
Surface ELO
5.2+47 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1754
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1871
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.4
Surface form
5.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.0
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
93
78

Birrell K.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Bouzkova M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast