Katie Boulter vs Kimberly BirrellTokyo Qualifying Round 2

Tokyo · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#60WTA
1831ELO
1795Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#72WTA
1754ELO
1752Hard ELO
28 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWL
Boulter K.
3-6 6-3 7-6
Birrell K.
Boulter K.
36772
Birrell K.
63621

Katie Boulter defeated Kimberly Birrell 3-6 6-3 7-6 in the Tokyo qualifying round 2 on hard. The result followed the form book — Katie Boulter came in ranked #60.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Boulter K.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Birrell K.

Birrell K.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Boulter K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Boulter K.Birrell K.
21
Serve
22
67
Return
43

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
53%
54%
Aces / match·Even
2.8
2.3
Double faults / match·Even
5.5
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (59 vs 88). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
87
65
Break points saved·Slight edge
86
77
Break points won·Slight edge
93
83
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
65
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+43 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1752
5.7Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1754
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.0
Surface form
3.4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
94

Boulter K.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Birrell K.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast