Belinda Bencic vs Varvara GrachevaTokyo Round of 16

Tokyo · WTA · Round of 16
#11WTA
1989ELO
1952Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$17MCAREER
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#88WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
Bencic B.
6-4 6-3
Gracheva V.
Bencic B.
662
Gracheva V.
430

Belinda Bencic defeated Varvara Gracheva 6-4 6-3 in the Tokyo round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Belinda Bencic came in ranked #11.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bencic B.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Gracheva V.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Bencic B.

Serve advantage — Bencic B.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bencic B.Gracheva V.
57
Serve
3
55
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
60%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (68 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
88
74
Break points saved·Clear edge
95
76
Break points won·Slight edge
94
87
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
98
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
7.4+189 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Hard Elo 1763
7.3Overall Elo 1989
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1810
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
5.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
2.5
Minutes 14d
8.6
4.0
3-set count
7.0
4.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
82

Bencic B.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 81%