Varvara Gracheva vs Emiliana ArangoTokyo Qualifying Round 1

Tokyo · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#88WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#97WTA
1624ELO
1576Hard ELO
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLL
Gracheva V.
6-2 2-6 7-5
Arango E.
Gracheva V.
6272
Arango E.
2651

Varvara Gracheva defeated Emiliana Arango 6-2 2-6 7-5 in the Tokyo qualifying round 1 on hard. The result followed the form book — Varvara Gracheva came in ranked #88.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Gracheva V.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Arango E.

Arango E.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gracheva V.Arango E.
3
Serve
0
27
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
53%
Return points won·Even
44%
47%
Break points saved·Even
53%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.9
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
74
57
Break points saved·Clear edge
76
56
Break points won·Slight edge
87
81
Deciding sets·Clear edge
90
70
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
65
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+187 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1576
7.2Overall Elo 1810
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1624
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
3.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
8.3
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
88

Arango E.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast