Katherine Sebov vs Mary StoianaW100 Macon GA Round of 32

W100 Macon GA · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#244WTA
1407ELO
1401Hard ELO
27 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
#130WTA
1656ELO
1567Hard ELO
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWL
Sebov K.
6-4 6-7 6-3
Stoiana M.
Sebov K.
66662
Stoiana M.
47831

Katherine Sebov defeated Mary Stoiana 6-4 6-7 6-3 in the W100 Macon GA round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mary Stoiana came in ranked #130.

Key context

  • Match story: Katherine Sebov closed it out in three sets, 6–4 6–7 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sebov K.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Stoiana M.

Stoiana M.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Sebov K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
77%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
46%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.6
1.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (73 vs 56). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1401
Surface ELO
5.6+166 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1407
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1656
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
5.2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
83
59

Sebov K.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d) · Stoiana M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast