Lin Zhu vs Emma Raducanu — Ningbo Round of 32

Ningbo · WTA · Round of 32
Lin Zhu
CHN
Lin Zhu
#142WTA
1674ELO
1647Hard ELO
32 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
Emma Raducanu
GBR
Emma Raducanu
#33WTA
1834ELO
1773Hard ELO
$605kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLLWL
Zhu L.
3-6 6-4 6-1
Raducanu E.
Zhu L.
3662
Raducanu E.
6411

Lin Zhu defeated Emma Raducanu 3-6 6-4 6-1 in the Ningbo round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Emma Raducanu came in ranked #33.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Zhu L.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Raducanu E.

Raducanu E.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Zhu L.

Serve advantage — Zhu L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zhu L.Raducanu E.
14
Serve
32
60
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Zhu L.Raducanu E.
1st serve in·Even
68%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
44%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.2
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (57 vs 60). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Zhu L.Raducanu E.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
37
64
Break points saved·Dominant
64
96
Break points won·Slight edge
91
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
15
29
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
65
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Zhu L.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Raducanu E.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1647
Surface ELO
6.6+126 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1674
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1834
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
4.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
9.4
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.5
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Zhu L.Raducanu E.
Freshness·
100
—

Zhu L.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
34°CDrizzle
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw

Final
Rybakina E.[3]
Alexandrova E.[4]
3-66-06-2
Semi-finals
Rybakina E.[3]
Paolini J.[2]
6-36-2
Alexandrova E.[4]
Shnaider D.[7]
6-36-4
Quarter-finals
Paolini J.[2]
Bencic B.[6]
5-77-56-3
Alexandrova E.[4]
Kessler M.
6-36-3
Shnaider D.[7]
Zhu L.
2-66-36-1
Rybakina E.[3]
Tomljanovic A.
6-26-0
R16
Alexandrova E.[4]
Yuan Y.
6-36-3
Kessler M.
Samsonova L.[8]
7-656-1
Zhu L.
Andreeva M.[1]
4-66-36-2
Paolini J.[2]
Kudermetova V.
6-27-5
Bencic B.[6]
Starodubtseva Y.
5-76-47-5
Rybakina E.[3]
Yastremska D.
6-46-766-3
Shnaider D.[7]
Muchova K.
2-66-16-2
Tomljanovic A.
Sonmez Z.
7-666-3
R32
Samsonova L.[8]
Guo H.
6-26-4
Kudermetova V.
Ruzic A.
6-36-2
Sonmez Z.
Sasnovich A.
2-67-56-3
Kessler M.
Kenin S.
6-16-0
Yuan Y.
Wang X.
6-36-3
Starodubtseva Y.
Putintseva Y.
6-46-2
Bencic B.[6]
Linette M.
6-36-2
Yastremska D.
Mboko V.
6-37-63
Muchova K.
Vondrousova M.
6-46-3
Tomljanovic A.
Tauson C.[5]
1-67-646-3
Zhu L.
Raducanu E.
3-66-46-1
Shnaider D.[7]
Wang X.
7-56-3