Alex Michelsen vs Shintaro MochizukiAlmaty Quarter-final

Almaty · ATP · Quarter-final
#42ATP
1813ELO
1804Hard ELO
$568kYTD
$4.4MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
#130ATP
1488ELO
1432Hard ELO
$203kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLLLWLL

Alex Michelsen defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 6-3 3-6 6-2 in the Almaty quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex Michelsen came in ranked #42.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex Michelsen closed it out in three sets, 6–3 3–6 6–2.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.6+373 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.4Hard Elo 1432
8.9Overall Elo 1813
ELO gap
1.1Overall Elo 1488
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.4
Surface form
5.3
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
6.2
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Michelsen A.
6362
Mochizuki S.
3621

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
68%1st serve in+17%51%
74%1st serve points won+5%69%
51%2nd serve points won+5%46%
66%Service points won+8%58%
35%Return points won+2%37%
69%Break points saved+12%57%
6.3Aces / match+2.63.7
2.3Double faults / match+3.86.1

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.