Keegan Smith vs Aidan Mchugh — Lincoln CH Qualifying Round 2

Lincoln CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
USA8
Keegan Smith
#247ATP
1421ELO
1395Hard ELO
28 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
GBR6
Aidan Mchugh
#460ATP
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLL
Smith K.
7-6 7-6
Mchugh A.
Smith K.
77772
Mchugh A.
61620

Keegan Smith defeated Aidan Mchugh 7-6 7-6 in the Lincoln CH qualifying round 2 on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Smith K.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Mchugh A.

Mchugh A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Smith K.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Smith K.Mchugh A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
74%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.4
2.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (52 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Smith K.Mchugh A.
Clutch Rating·Even
26
23
Break points saved·Clear edge
84
72
Break points won·Even
3
5
Deciding sets·Even
48
49
Tiebreaks·Even
10
11

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Smith K.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Mchugh A.
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 126 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.5
Surface form
3.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.3
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Smith K.Mchugh A.
Freshness·
74
—

Smith K.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Q2
Arseneault N.[4]
Kirchheimer S.
6-37-5
Fenty A.[3]
Poling K.
6-27-5
Ganesan A.[9]
Martin D.[2]
6-47-63
Smith K.[8]
Mchugh A.[6]
7-617-62
Wiskandt M.[1]
Arutiunian E.[7]
5-76-36-0
Kingsley C.[5]
Boulais J.[10]
6-36-1
Q1
Fenty A.[3]
Schachter N.
6-46-4
Wiskandt M.[1]
Kumar P.
4-66-16-2
Kirchheimer S.
Miyoshi K.[11]
6-16-4
Poling K.
Sheehy J.[12]
6-33-66-3
Arseneault N.[4]
Baris O.
7-57-66
Martin D.[2]
Sysoev N.
7-56-4
Kingsley C.[5]
Perez B.
6-06-2
Boulais J.[10]
Williams C.
6-16-3
Mchugh A.[6]
Seelig K.
6-27-63
Smith K.[8]
Torres Espinosa J.
6-06-3